<version 1> Based on the data by MoH Kuwait and WHO Database, we have only

52 Observations as of April 13th 2020, which leaves us with asumptions when doing the predection.

Data Updated on Sunday, April 12, 2020
GCC
Confirmed Cases
14,533
(+3,626)
Recovered Cases
2,525
(+646)
Deaths
99
(+26)

Updated on April 12, 2020 ( +change since 3 days ago.)

Kuwait
Cases
1,234
(+324)
Recovered
142
(+31)
Deaths
1
(+0)
Saudi Arabia
Cases
4,462
(+1,175)
Recovered
761
(+95)
Deaths
59
(+15)
United Arab Emirates
Cases
4,123
(+1,133)
Recovered
680
(+412)
Deaths
22
(+8)

''

10 100 1000
Country New Cases Total Cases Recovered Recovery Deaths Fatality
Feb. 22
Apr. 12
(+NEW) since Apr, 09
Saudi Arabia
4,462 (+1,175) 761 (+95) 17.1% 59 (+15) 1.3%
United Arab Emirates
4,123 (+1,133) 680 (+412) 16.5% 22 (+8) 0.5%
Qatar
2,979 (+603) 275 (+69) 9.2% 7 (+1) 0.2%
Kuwait
1,234 (+324) 142 (+31) 11.5% 1 (+0) 0.1%
Bahrain
1,136 (+249) 558 (+39) 49.1% 6 (+1) 0.5%
Oman
599 (+142) 109 (+0) 18.2% 4 (+1) 0.7%

Kuwaiti Cases

Daily Percent Change in Growth Rate

Useful for tracking whether the growth rate is increasing. Any positive percentage indicates exponential growth.

Kuwait Model

Model fit score: 0.99
Growth rate: 0.103
Model fit score: 0.98
Growth rate: 0.106

Using Saudi as proxy model

Model fit score: 0.95
Growth rate: 0.128

Applying the proxy model to the Kuwait

NOTE: The y-axis above is the log of the number of cases. So let's rescale that.


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